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Even as Prayagraj touched 47.6°C on Sunday, heatwave to severe heatwave conditions are likely to continue over many parts of North India for the next two days, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD). Meanwhile, heavy to very heavy rainfall with isolated extremely heavy rain is very likely to continue over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Assam-Meghalaya over the next three days.
THE HEATWAVE: IN PAST 24 HOURS
According to the IMD release, Prayagraj reported the highest maximum temperature in the country on Sunday. Heatwave to severe heatwave conditions were observed in most parts of Himachal Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, and in many parts of south Bihar, south Uttarakhand over the past 24 hours. Heatwave conditions were also reported in some parts of Jammu-Kashmir, north Madhya Pradesh; in isolated pockets of Odisha, Gangetic West Bengal, Jharkhand, north Rajasthan & Vidarbha. Maximum temperatures are in the range of 44-46°C in most parts of Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi & Uttar Pradesh; in many parts of north Rajasthan & north Madhya Pradesh; and in isolated pockets of Bihar & Jharkhand. These are above normal by 4-8 degrees in these regions.
THE RAIN: IN PAST 24 HOURS
Heavy to very heavy and extremely heavy rain occurred at isolated places over Assam, Meghalaya, Saurashtra and Kutch. Heavy to very heavy rainfall was reported at isolated places over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh, Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam, Telangana, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal and Coastal Karnataka.
MONSOON FORECAST
According to the IMD, conditions are favourable for further advance of southwest monsoon into some more parts of Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Northwest Bay of Bengal, some parts of Gangetic West Bengal, remaining parts of Sub Himalayan West Bengal and some parts of Bihar over the next four days.
A Western Disturbance as a trough in mid-tropospheric westerlies is likely to bring light rainfall with thunderstorm, lightning and gusty winds over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan on June 18-20.
Widespread light to moderate rainfall accompanied with thunderstorm, lightning and gusty winds is likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura and SubHimalayan West Bengal & Sikkim over the next five days.
Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall is very likely in:
- Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Assam & Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh (June 17-21)
- Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura (June 17-19)
- Assam and Meghalaya and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal (June 17-19)
- Arunachal Pradesh on June 19
- Meghalaya on June 18
- Odisha on June 20 and 21
Light to moderate rainfall accompanied with thunderstorm, lightning and gusty winds (30-40 kmph) is very likely over Gangetic West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha over the next two days and likely to increase thereafter.
Kerala and Mahe on June 17, 18 and 21; coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam from June 17-19; Telangana on June 17 and coastal Karnataka on June 17, 20 and 21.
IN MAHARASHTRA, GUJARAT, KONKAN AND GOA
A cyclonic circulation lies over Northeast Arabian Sea adjoining Saurashtra and a north-south trough runs from this cyclonic circulation to Eastcentral Arabian Sea off south Maharashtra coast in lower tropospheric levels. An east-west trough runs from Goa to south Coastal Andhra Pradesh and a cyclonic circulation lies over Southeast Arabian Sea off Kerala coast in lower tropospheric levels.
Under their influence, scattered to fairly widespread light to moderate rainfall accompanied with thunderstorm, lightning is likely over Gujarat state, Konkan and Goa, Madhya Maharashtra and Marathwada over the next five days.
Isolated heavy rainfall is likely over Konkan, Goa and ghat areas of Madhya Maharashtra from June 17-21 and Gujarat region on June 20-21.
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